It’s been somewhat of an obsession of mine to use the analytical methods introduced in this blog to make predictive claims about certain artist types. For this purpose, we decided to look at syllables/word as a metric to help distinguish artists. As discussed earlier in the Canibus post, SPW does a great job of showcasing artists with complex verbiage. There exists a large cluster of artists in the 1.2-1.3 SPW range with some underground artists having values greater than 1.35. The question we want to answer in this simple case study is: Is SPW a stat where popularity doesn’t necassarily reflect the metric ie. Is there a threshold value that mainstream artists don’t reach??
To do this, we decided to consult our database and put the data in nice graph for everyone to follow. Take a look:
Hmmmmm…. do you see what I see? Because I see a definite threshold that extremely popular mainstream artists don’t seem to reach (somewhere around 1.32-1.34). This is definitely evidence that SWP is a good indicator of popularity in extreme cases. For example, without ever listening to a word rapped by an artists with an SWP score of 1.40, I could tell you with a high certainty that they probably aren’t mainstream.
So, record execs, if you’re listening, don’t sign a guy with an SWP of 1.35 or above. Statistical historical precedant indicates that they probably won’t be able to reach platinum status.